Friday, April 27, 2007

NFL Draft Predictions

A few months back I entered a posting contest at the Blue Gray Sky with an analysis of how well the end of year college football awards do at predicting the NFL draft. The analysis is posted here.

One of the questions that this analysis brings into focus is why is there so much divergence in how well the various awards predict the top player chosen in the draft. For example the tight end, lineman, and defensive back awards to a pretty good job of predicting the top player drafted at those positions, but the running back and quarterback awards do a much worse job of predicting the top player drafted at those positions. I really don't know the answer to this questions but I would be interested to find out.